J League Title Down to Four Teams

HIROSHIMA, SENDAI, URAWA AND KASHIWA TO FIGHT IT OUT

Urawa Reds manager Mihailo Petrovic

It's time to get serious J League fans. I'm now confident enough to put in print my genuine title contenders. Okay, I'm having the ultimate each way bet by selecting four teams, but lets not forget last year's title was a three horse race up until the last 20-30 minutes of the season. Would it surprise me if that occurred again? No.

The J League ladder sees first placed Sanfrecce Hiroshima only 9 points clear of tenth placed FC Tokyo, but there are a number of reasons why the title is down to just four teams now. Now I'm not a betting man but, I can tell you it's safe to put your house on one of the following four teams winning the 2012 J League title: Sanfrecce Hiroshima, Vegalta Sendai, Urawa Reds or Kashiwa Reysol. But there is only 9 points between first and tenth, I can hear you say. And there are 15 games to go, I hear you say. Oh don't worry, I haven't forgotten King Kev and the Toon with 12 points lead back in 95/96 either.

The fact that there is only 4 points between the top four teams is the biggest factor in my selection of four, and only four contenders. The other reasons for eliminating all the other teams from the title race include, inconsistency and lack of ability. The weekend's action was enough evidence to say that many teams just lack some of the elements which make up a champion team.

Going back to our historical example in Newcastle United (95/96) there is a significant difference in the 12 point margin they had and the margin the top four teams have on the chasing pack in this year's J League. Newcastle sat atop the table on their lonesome. Sanfrecce and Sendai are tied on 37 points while Urawa and Kashiwa sit on 34 and 33 respectively. Students of probability will know that one team is more likely to behave badly than four teams. Back in 95/96 one team (yes, Newcastle United) did behave very badly. In 2012 four teams will not behave badly. Maybe one will drop out of the race early, but I'm not brave enough to predict which team that would be.

Now to focus on the 'also rans'. Jubilo Iwata's (30pts) 2-nil loss to Urawa Reds on the weekend was enough to say yes it was an apparition. Jubilo once moonlighted as a title contender, but a spate of long term injuries, and two forwards (Baek Korea and Yamazaki Japan) lost to Olympic duty mean, the goals will dry up for Maeda and co. Yokohama F Marinos (30pts) have suddenly turned up in 6th. The team from Kanagawa have not lost a J League match since April 21st. Thats 12 matches undefeated but unfortunately that run of matches includes 5 draws. As much as I'd like to see my mates in Yokohama successful, I just think they lack the potency. Put it this way, Yokohama won't be earning the nickname 'the entertainers' very soon.

Kawasaki Frontale (30pts) are one of those teams that simply lack consistency. They have something in common with Nagoya Grampus (29pts) and that is not a good quality. Nagoya are in need of an overhaul and manager Stojkovic doesn't have much time. Seriously, stop messing with us Nagoya! After 6 J League matches without loss, they head to Hokkaido to play a Sapporo team already doomed to the J2 next year. So did Nagoya show the mettle of champions and grind out a win without Kennedy, Nagai and Tamada, no! Of course not.

Sagan Tosu (28pts) are the underdog punching well above their weight. They have been steered to a successful season via smart management. They have conceded just 18 goals in 19 matches. That's equal third in terms of J League defencive records. Manager Jung-Hwan Yoon (Korea) has made his blue and pink team hard to beat: a good idea when venturing into J1 for the first time. Tosu will not win the title though because their attack is not as impressive as their defence. Finally FC Tokyo, (28pts) who are also a promoted team cannot win the title on account of a hectic playing schedule. They began the season well and after five matches sat 1 point off the lead, however, their commitments in the ACL and now the Yamazaki Nabisco Cup have proven too much for them to maintain a push for the title. The weekend's loss to 14th placed Niigata was comprehensive and they look tired. Coincidentally, Vegalta Sendai and Kashiwa Reysol are still involved in the aforementioned cup competition. Will this affect their title hopes?

Here are some highlights from the FC Tokyo v Albirex Niigata match. Niigata as predicted here at East Asian Soccer are on the way up.

   








   

J League's Sun Kings Cause S-Pulse Flatline

KASHIWA GAIN J LEAGUE MOMENTUM

Kashiwa Reysol celebrate victory over Shimizu S Pulse

In another action packed weekend of J League soccer we saw a new leader emerge and one team's hopes of snaring the title well and truly obliterated. Sanfrecce Hiroshima now lead the J League on account of a superior goals for tally. It's so close at the top that both Hiroshima and Sendai have the same goal difference but the team in violet own the number one position due to their 37 goals as opposed to Sendai's 34. Shimizu S-Pulse however, can forget about the title for 2012. In possibly the most eventful match of the season 'the Wingheads' (Shimizu) went down in a ball of flames, fighting all the way through the second half with one less player than opponents Kashiwa Reysol.

The Wingheads went into the match hoping to arrest a flagging run of form which had seen them go seven J League matches without a win. Kashiwa Reysol though, had suffered only the one loss (last week v Nagoya) in their last eight matches. To the neutrals like myself this was a spectacle and a half, but the Shimizu fans are suicidal or maybe homicidal as a result of perceived failings of referee Nishimura. However, Shimizu fans weren't complaining early on when they were recipients of a penalty for handball. Unfortunately the experienced Shinji Ono shot wide. Almost 20 minutes later in the 33rd minute Reysol had a penalty of their own after blatant handball from Keisuke Iwashita. Domingues made no mistake, but not long after it was time to line up for a another penalty. This time it was in favour of the home team, as one of the great dives was rewarded with a PK (pee kay as spoken by Japanese commentators) by referee Nishimura. Genki Omae put to rest the sins of Ono, and made it 1-1. The sides went to half time with the scores locked at 1-1 but the Wingheads were reduced to ten men. Iwashita who had received a yellow card earlier slid in recklessly and picked up a second yellow. Sayonara Iwashita!

Amazingly it was Shimizu who turned the game on its head early in the second half. In the 53rd minute Takahara got enough of his head onto the end of a free kick to bamboozle the keeper, while the 63rd minute saw Alex Brosque pounce on defencive error and streak 30 metres, before slotting across the keeper and in at the far post. But Shimizu could bask in the  glory of the 3-1 scoreline for a limited time, as the 66th minute saw referee Nishimura send off both Wagner (Kashiwa) and young defender Yoshida (Shimizu).

After the match Shimizu manager Afshin Ghotbi would comment "My feelings are mixed with pride, sorrow, hope, and disappointment." The Wingheads hung in bravely for as long as possible but eventually the heaped pressure from the Sun Kings would be unbearable. Perhaps the moment that Kashiwa equalised was the straw that broke the camel's back. It was the 88th minute when a cross was tapped by keeper Hayashi into his own crossbar and into the path of Hashimoto. He couldn't miss. The video shows Shimizu defenders bow their heads in unison. The aftermath saw two goals in injury time with Kashiwa finishing the match with momentum. They were lining up to stick the dagger in for the fourth goal (check the video), and this win is one of those galvanising moments, 5-3 the final score. Put Kashiwa Reysol in the bank as repeat ACL contestants.

Elsewhere, Gamba Osaka's nightmare season continued with a last minute loss to Yokohama F Marinos. Marinos led 1-nil after scoring late in the first half. Gamba would equalise in the 88th minute only to concede again in injury time. In other relegation news Niigata's stocks continue to rise after a hard fought draw against Urawa. Almost 34000 packed Big Swan Stadium to see the locals raise hopes of survival, despite their lack of cutting edge up front Niigata are a great chance of pulling Omiya and Cerezo into the relegation battle.

Urawa's J League Masterclass?

Saitama Stadium played host to some torrential rain and a 5 minute masterclass from home team Urawa Reds on Saturday. The Reds led 1-nil at halftime via a Umesaki scrambled goal. The midfielder scored his second goal of the season after a cross was whipped in from the right which young gun Genki Haraguchi volleyed into the upright. Umesaki was 'johnny on the spot' when the ball rebounded into his path.

The Reds created more chances in the first half but failed to convert, again hitting the upright on one occasion. When the players walked onto the pitch for the second half they were confronted by tropical storm-like conditions. Thankfully the fans were treated to a goal feast which would warm the hearts of their cold and wet bodies. It began in the 50th minute when the home team broke from their own half after some aggressive tackling. Kashiwagi fed Hirakawa a perfect through ball from the left, the defender had no option but to run the ball into the box and shoot. When he did, he hit the target. Moments later it was Haraguchi's turn with the Reds once again in counter mode. Kashiwagi once again provided the assist and this ball truly was sublime. It seems the number eight loves a wet track: for me, the man of the match. Haraguchi's finish was expected for a player with the attention and wraps he is currently receiving. In the 54th minute Haraguchi was credited for a goal which was rightfully Kashiwagi's. An attempted clearance by a Tosu defender fell into the path of Kashiwagi who hammered it goal-ward. With the keeper beaten, Haraguchi's airborne ricochet wasn't needed but it saw him credited with the goal (check the video).

After some rapturous celebrations led by Makino the Reds decided to sit back and invite trouble. As if to match the Reds, Tosu scored three goals in four minutes between the 67th and 71st minute. A combination of lazy marking a lack of commitment saw Tosu almost snatch a point. In the 78th minute young Brazilian forward Tozim was first to a cross and headed just wide for Tosu. The team from Kyushu have shown much more resilience in their J1 debut than fellow Kyushu islanders Avispa Fukuoka last year. Avispa revisited J1 last season but were quickly sent packing as whipping boys of J1 in 2011. It's hard to see Tosu getting caught up in a relegation battle this year. For Urawa Reds though, what will be of season 2012? They sit five points off the lead with 17 matches to play. They certainly look like a harmonious unit, but the defencive lapse which saw Sagan Tosu grab three goals in the space of four minutes raises questions.

Masakatsu Sawa for Kashiwa Reysol

Elsewhere in the J League, competition leaders Vegalta Sendai continued on their merry way with a victory over Vissel Kobe. Sendai continue to be hard to beat, conceding only 15 goals and on Saturday actually being on the wrong end of a 19-9 shooting stat. It's this kind stubbornness that puts them in the champions bracket. As for the chasing pack, Sanfrecce Hiroshima fought off Jubilo Iwata with a 2-nil win putting them in 2nd place just two points off Sendai. Meanwhile, Nagoya Grampus were able to prove doubters (including me) wrong with a gutsy 2-1 win away to Kashiwa Reysol. Aussie Joshua Kennedy scored a neat flicked goal to put the Aichi team ahead but Reysol rallied to make it 1-1 soon after. With seven yellow cards issued, it was action aplenty in the Tokyo rain, but Kashiwa would go down due to an own goal in th 63rd minute.

Coming up this Saturday: Nagoya v Sendai, Hiroshima v Kawasaki, Shimizu v Kashiwa and lots more as the contenders begin to establish themselves. 

J League Ladder Congested

Sendai Still Top of J League

Wilson slots one away for Vegalta against Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Almost halfway through the season and still it's anyone's title in the J League. Vegalta Sendai still sit atop the table after the last two rounds saw them take on some of their closest rivals. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Jubilo Iwata are two and five points off the pace respectively while last season's champs Kashiwa Reysol ominously edge into the frame.

Many doubt Sendai's credentials to carry off the J League title however, it's one of those seasons where nobody else has stood up to say, 'we want it more'. Perhaps the biggest mover and shaker is 2011 champion Kashiwa Reysol. Kashiwa have taken 16 points from the last 18 points available to them. Not long ago we were thinking they could be the first team to be promoted to the J1 and win the title straight up, before being relegated again the next year. That's not going to happen though, and the weekend's 6-2 drubbing of Gamba at Gamba is a clear message to all their opponents. With no more commitments to the ACL the 'Sun Kings' are definitely one to watch. Next week they take on the stuttering Nagoya at home, without the services a recently departed Hiroki Sakai, another Japanese player off to Germany.

Hiroki Sakai off to Hannover

Elsewhere at the top of the table Jubilo Iwata gave FC Tokyo a lesson 3-1 at Yamaha Stadium (Iwata). Something is definitely amiss at FC Tokyo. Even with Hasegawa playing the full 90 minutes they only picked up their goal in the 89th minute. As Hisato Sato grabbed another goal Sanfrecce Hiroshima were able to snare a point at Yurtec Stadium when they took on Vegalta Sendai. Vegalta were a little fortunate as Wilson's second goal in the 79th minute came from a defencive blunder. As for Sato, his goal was a gem tapped in off the outside of his left foot as he flew through the air to meet a bouncing cross from the right. Super!

I had the pleasure of travelling to Big Swan Stadium to watch the Albirex Niigata game against misfiring big guns Kashima Antlers. It was a truly entertaining affair with both teams efforts belying their positions on the table. The sultry and prancing Dutra putting on one of those performances that Brazilian soccer players are renowned for. He picked up a goal with a quick turn and shot from just inside the box and wowed the crowd with his backheel passes. He danced around the stage in his glowing orange boots in a free roaming role, the only blight on his game being his lethargy and some spectacular simulation. However, some might say his simulation was also part of the package, it certainly had me entertained. Poor Niigata look set for relegation though sitting second last and 5 points away from safety. They did replace their manager recently though and one thing I took from the match was their shape at the back was very stable. Good luck to them and their loyal fans. 35,506 fans turned up to see the men in orange as they fight for survival.

I look forward to seeing this table sort itself out in the coming weeks with Hiroshima hosting third placed Jubilo Iwata while Vegalta Sendai head to Kobe to take on a team on the up with newly appointed Akira Nishino. Nishino took Gamba to the ACL title in 2008 and the J League title in 2007, will he have the same success with Kobe?