Fork in the Road to Brazil - 2014

Jordan manager Adnan Hamad has declared he and his team, ". . .came here for a win." The Jordanians have arrived in Melbourne facing the same situation as the Socceroos. After six qualifying matches Jordan and Australia are in control of their own destinies. 

The two teams met in Amman, in September 2012, with the Jordanians springing an upset 2-1 victory. Manager Hamad rates tonight's clash with the Socceroos as the ". . . biggest match in the history of Jordanian football."  While the Socceroos are now buoyant after a stirring 1-1 draw with Japan in Saitama, there are a number of danger signs for the home team. 

The Australian eleven which pulled off that positive result in Japan only differ by two names from the one that were defeated in Jordan. Back in 2012 at the King Abdullah International Stadium there was no Tommy Oar or Mark Milligan. What is familiar is the two centre backs Lucas Neill and Sasa Ognenovski, and this is where Jordan found a weakness. The pair cannot blame playing conditions from that day as it was a comfortable 26 degrees. There can be no doubt though that Jordan will look to isolate the two again. How will they do that? Counter attack. Lucas Neill will be having nightmares of forward Odai Al Saify (9) and his shimmy shimmy go-go. While Jordan's first goal in the previous outing was a dubious penalty earned by the aforementioned, we shouldn't be surprised if he earns another tonight. His agility will trouble the two larger framed Aussies, and poignantly he grabbed the only goal in Jordan's warm up match against New Zealand last week.

For the Australians the injection of Oar and Kruse on the wings against Japan was a master stroke from Holger Osieck. The two are looking to establish themselves as regulars in the World Cup squad, and it's that kind of enthusiasm and motivation which can infect the rest of the playing group once on the field. The danger of playing the same troops time and again is that wearing the national shirt becomes 'run of the mill'. This has been evidenced in Australia's trips to the middle east, against unrecognised opponents.

Nevertheless, the Aussies are in a mathematical predicament where they simply must win to guarantee qualification. Both manager and players are whistling the right tune to the media. But complacency is rarely detected before the ninety minutes are played. 

Meanwhile Group A with Korea Republic (11) Uzbekistan (11) and Iran (10) is also full of tension. Tonight Korea face Uzbekistan in Seoul while a week later they host Iran. The Iranians should take three points tonight against Lebanon and then travel to Korea placed in the top two.   

Aussies Talking a Good Fight in Preparation for Japan

Socceroos v Japan in Brisbane 2012

The Socceroos 2014 World Cup qualification hopes sit precariously. Australia currently lie third behind the barnstorming Japan, and surprise packets Jordan. This round of World Cup qualifiers (04/06/2013) pits Australia against the Blue Samurai, while Jordan has a bye and Oman host Iraq. All the talk from the Socceroos has been about the fighting spirit which exists in Australian teams. Josh Kennedy said, "All of us fight down to the last second of the game . . ."

In international soccer/football it's often said that 'class tells' or 'class rises to the top'. Sadly for Australia at this point in time the core of it's eleven are playing in leagues a number of tiers down from the elite European stages such as Spain, Germany, Italy and England's Premier League. This is in contrast to the Japanese squad, which has been compared to the peaking 2006 Aussie World Cup squad. 

The Japanese have invaded Germany's Bundesliga with as many as five members of the starting eleven currently plying their trade there. Also starring in Europe is Yuto Nagatomo at Inter Milan and the feted Shinji Kagawa playing at Manchester United. Meanwhile, Japan's biggest weapon Keisuke Honda remains in one of the second tier leagues of Europe, that of Russia. For Japan however, the past two internationals have seen hiccups. They slipped up in Jordan 2-1 minus the zip of a Honda driven midfield, and in the friendly last Thursday night (30/05/2013) against Bulgaria, the Blue Samurai just lacked the cutting edge, although they were trying out a different formation. Coach Alberto Zaccheroni said, "I don't think our opponents created so many chances, but we couldn't create as many as we wanted to either." Again Japan played without Honda.

As well as being outclassed on paper, Australia are also lacking match fitness in many positions. Captain Lucas Neill hasn't played a competitive match since 23rd March, midfield weapon Brett Holman has played 11 minutes as a substitute for Aston Villa since their 23rd April, clash with Manchester United. Also expected to fill a midfield position is 'yellow card prone' Mark Milligan. Milligan's last competitive outing dates back to 14th April. Then there is the problematic left back position. Michael Zullo of Utrecht played his last full 90 minutes on 21st April, other options are Michael Thwaite (last game 5th April) or Matt McKay a midfielder who has filled the role before but not convincingly.

Despite all of the factors pointing toward a Japanese victory, Socceroos captain Lucas Neill is quietly confident of getting a result. The defender has revealed that the Japanese are actually under a lot of pressure. "What we do need to highlight is that Japan has lost two in a row now. They have a goalkeeper that's shown some shaky moments. I know how much media attention there is around this Japanese team." Tim Cahill also had a confident tone, "For us it's all about us . . . we prepare right we stay relaxed. Play the game not the occasion." Now with New York Red Bulls and regularly on the score sheet, Cahill is the face the Japanese have seen enough of. In 2006 he rammed home two goals in the World Cup group match, while in 2009 he headed home 2 more during World Cup qualification. Perhaps Australia's best hopes lie in the less familiar members of the line-up though. Robbie Kruse has had a breakout season with Fortuna Dusseldorf and has now been snapped up by Bayer Leverkusen. The striker/winger was one of the most fouled players in the Bundesliga and much of Australia's hopes will lie in Kruse's ability to get to past his opponent.

If pressed to predict a result LewDub can see the Aussies picking up at least a draw. Australia's ability in big matches against the headline acts has been proven throughout history. Meanwhile, this Japanese squad are under more intense scrutiny then any soccer team from 'the land of the rising sun' before them. Expect the Socceroos to bully the Japanese early and their opponents to struggle to put together the fluid passing game that they've built their success on.

Japan v Iraq Match Report

Okazaki and Maeda for Japan v Iraq

JAPAN 1-0 IRAQ - 2014 WORLD CUP QUALIFIER

The home of the Urawa Reds, Saitama Stadium was packed as usual. Whilst the pitch wasn't in the best condition the home team served up the standard fare for a Japan international. They were slick, persistent and winners.

The match began with Iraq applying a physical challenge but soon Japan were on top. Nagatomo's stinging shot from the left edge was a sign of things to come. Samurai Blue showed a preference for the left side and Kiyotake and Nagatomo look a great combination.

Iraq found themselves with an early opportunity when Hammadi Ahmed had the ball land at his feet from a corner in the 21st minute. Unfortunately his shot was deflected to the bye line with no corner called. Moments late Japan were ahead 1-nil via a Ryoichi Maeda header. The Jubilo Iwata forward has made a career out of using his head, and tonight was no different. This time he was on the end of some quick thinking by Komano whose throw in was chased to bye line by Okazaki (Stuttgart) and lobbed across goal. 1-nil in the 25th minute.

The remainder of the first half saw Honda marked out of the game with much of his work limited to link play with Kiyotake down the left. On the eve of half time Japan reiterated their intentions with Endo's shot from range. The Iraqi defence deflecting it clear.

Despite no Kagawa (non starter) Samurai Blue were still full of verve with Okazaki's contribution notable. Iraq came out with enterprise early in the second half winning some corners but nothing eventuated. The match then returned to the same rhythm as the first half. Iraq forced to play deep and try their luck on the counter.

Again Japan's best efforts came from the left side with another great link up by Kiyotake who set Nagatomo free down the left for a rapid fire cross into Honda (25th min). The Moscow resident headed over though. Younis' introduction for Iraq gave a burst of energy but he's involvement was limited to long balls out of defence. A definite highlight for Iraq was the dribbling effort of Jasim Kerrar as the away team began to try their luck. The midfielder took the ball from near the halfway and tricked his way deep into box. Moments later his long range shot was on target but straight to the hands of keeper Kawashima.

Maya Yoshida in action against Iraq

Japan were stirred into action and the remaining 5 minutes of the match were dictated by Samurai Blue. A number of corners resulted but the home team were unable to capitalise. Zaccheroni made his only two substitutions in the 89th and 90th minutes. Kiyotake and Maeda replaced by Hosogai and Havenaar respectively.

The home team ran out 1-nil winners with a stubborn Iraq providing decent opposition. Once again the result will leave questions lingering over Japan's ability to finish as the weight of possession was heavily in favour of Japan. Iraq did their best against a fitter and faster opponent and the visitors will still fancy themselves a chance of gaining the second automatic qualifying place from Group B.

Asian World Cup Qualifiers

JAPAN TO SEAL WORLD CUP QUALIFICATION?

Tonight in Group B of World Cup qualifying Japan host Iraq while Australia travel to the mid east to face Jordan. Currently Japan lead Group B with 7 points from three matches. Iraq meanwhile, have 2 points from two draws. At this early stage we can say with confidence that if Japan take the three points tonight, qualification for World Cup 2014 will be a formality.

Quizzed on his defencive line up, manager Alberto Zaccheroni said, "We had to change around the backline, but we have had good training and our players look fit. I have a faith in them." Japan will be without three regular defenders in Konno (Gamba Osaka), Uchida (FC Schalke 04), and Kurihara (Yokohama F Marinos). Yuzo Kurihara played a great cameo in Japan's draw with Australia in Brisbane where he grabbed a goal from a set piece. Urawa Reds defender Tomoaki Makino has been called into the squad. Surely Japan will struggle in transition as a result of the changes and Iraq manager Zico said "There are no secrets in the modern game, you can't keep anything up your sleeve any more."

Zico is well known to Japanese soccer aficionados for his contribution at Kashima Antlers in the 90's. The Brazilian was upbeat but also had this to say about Iraq's situation, "We haven't played together since July and I'm not happy we were not able to fix anything on the official FIFA Match days." This will work against Iraq and if the speed and fluidity of Japan in transition will be hampered tonight, we can say that the overall cohesion of Iraq will be tested also. This could mean a low scoring affair in Saitama.

In Amman, Jordan face Australia who also sit on 2 points from two draws. The Socceroos are expected to try the pairing of Bresciano and Mckay in central midfield after the two showed promising signs as a partnership against Lebanon. The big question mark amongst fans is where to play Holman? He is to good a player to leave out but by putting him in a striker's support role Australia miss out on a large element of what makes Holman whole: that's his work rate.

Watch and listen to Socceroos players on video below.

Socceroos in Danger Zone

  SOCCEROOS IN DANGER ZONE

"Oman's a completely different (pause), competitive game to this one. So, we look forward you know, in confident mood." After a 2-nil defeat to Denmark on Saturday, Socceroos captain Lucas Neill is not panicking. However, despite what the captain says, Australia's path to World Cup 2014 is beginning to look very dangerous. With imminent retirements and a star player out over family issues, Australia might well find itself chasing the pack.

This Friday 11pm AEST, the Socceroos face Oman at the Sultan Qaboos Sports Complex. The Omanies got their qualifying campaign off to a disappointing start when being downed 3-nil by Japan at Saitama Stadium on Sunday. That 3-nil scoreline is what is most dangerous for the Socceroos. With what seems a comfortable victory for Japan the Socceroos will quite plausibly head to the middle east expecting to pick up the three points in standard manner, but the defeat to Japan wasn't as ugly as the scoreline depicts.

Japan picked up an early goal from a Nagatomo cross and a superb volleyed finish by Keisuke Honda. From there the Samurai Blue dominated possession, it's true, but the Oman back four held firm. This was a defensive unit unlike most from west Asia. They moved as one, and it was only an offside goal and an unfortunate deflection which provided for the second and third goals (check video below). Make no mistake, a Socceroos outfit lacking it's most potent strike weapon in recent times (Brett Holman), will struggle to prise this team open.

With Holman on paternal duties (expecting his second child), expect Australia to look to the famous faces , Cahill, Kewell and Bresciano. The old faces at the back though, are cause for concern. Socceroos fans are all aware of their aging line-up, and the lack of mobility in the centre back position is becoming more and more a liability. In the Denmark clash we saw Matthew Spiranovic (squad member at Urawa Reds) slot in for Sasa Ognenovski (33 yrs old), and unfortunately he had a game to forget. Responsible for the penalty that provided Denmark with their first goal, the defender then failed to make contact with a corner, leading to the second goal. The 'icing on the cake' came when the 23 year old played a neat through ball  (a woeful back pass) into the path of Nicklas Bendtner, who should have made it 3-nil.

These are worrying times for Australia. With a lack of speed and mobility at the back the Socceroos cannot afford to be 'behind the eight ball' in this qualifying campaign. Given that Australia's second opponent in qualifying is Japan the need for three points in Oman is paramount. Imagine this hypothetical situation: Australia take 1 point from Oman, and Japan defeat Australia in Brisbane. Suddenly the Socceroos are chasing the pack. Does Holger Osieck ring in the inevitable changes before our third qualifying match in September? Or does he stick with the experience to get us out of trouble, in full knowledge that even skipper Lucas Neill (34 yrs old) may struggle to make a starting eleven in Brazil?

Check out Japan vs Oman below: